Independent · non-commercial · publishes on a quarterly cycle|Current cycle 2026 Q3
Compound Evidence InstituteEvidence synthesis · established 2023Graded assessments of compounds, trials, methods and supply
Document set current to 30 July 2026
Public comment period · §2

Draft synthesis: The consequences of a wholly… — submissions

The 10 submissions received, published in full with declared interests and secretariat responses.

Document identifier
CEI-CP-110/2
Series
Public comment period
Version
1.0
Published
18 Oct 2024
Last reviewed
18 Oct 2024
Next review
18 Oct 2025
Identifier
10.71829/cei.cp.110
Certainty
Not rated
Cycle
2024 Q3
Window
13 Jul 2024 – 11 Sep 2024
Status
Closed
Submissions
10

§2Submissions and responses

10 submissions were received. Each is published in full below with its declared interest, the secretariat response and the disposition. The Institute publishes submissions it did not accept in the same form as those it did.

Dr Yaa Kettlewell, PhD (Biostatistics) Independent evidence-synthesis consultancy · submitting on biostatistics
DRAFT-SPONSOR-COND/001 received 17 Jul 2024

Point estimates are given without an interval

The respondent notes that the review question — What is known about the direction and magnitude of the difference between sponsor-conducted and independently conducted trials, and how should an… — is answerable only if the contributing trials measured the same thing, and submits with that in view.

Several estimates in the draft appear as single figures. The respondent states that a point estimate without an interval invites a precision the underlying data do not support, and that the effect is worst where the estimate is drawn from a small contributing set.

The respondent proposes that no point estimate appear anywhere in the document set without its interval, including in summary tables and in the abstract.

Declared interest. Has previously served as an investigator on a trial included in the evidence base under consultation. Received no personal payment; institutional payment was made to the trial site.
Secretariat responseAccepted in part09 Oct 2024

The secretariat accepts this submission in part. Intervals are added wherever the source reports one. The proposal is declined for figures the source published without an interval, because the Institute will not compute an interval a source did not report.

Every estimate now carries its interval where the source reported one, and where it did not, the estimate is annotated as reported without an interval rather than left to appear as a precise figure.

Anselm Mountstephen, MSc (Clinical Pharmacy) University department of pharmacy practice · submitting on medicines information
DRAFT-SPONSOR-COND/002 received 28 Jul 2024

The search strategy as published cannot be re-run

The respondent read the draft review of What is known about the direction and magnitude of the difference between sponsor-conducted and independently conducted trials, and how should an… and has confined this submission to a single matter.

The strategy is described in prose rather than reproduced as executed. The respondent, an information specialist, attempted to reconstruct it and obtained a different yield, which may reflect the reconstruction or the original.

The respondent proposes that the strategy be published line by line as run in each database, with the interface, the date and the number of records retrieved at each line.

This point is adjacent to the one made in submission 001 and the respondent puts it in a form the secretariat can act on.

Declared interest. No financial or non-financial interest to declare in relation to the subject of this consultation.
Secretariat responseAccepted25 Sep 2024

The secretariat accepts this submission. A strategy that cannot be re-run cannot be checked, and a review whose search cannot be checked rests on an assertion.

The full line-by-line strategy for each database is now published with the interface, the run date and the yield at each line, and the total retrieved is reconciled against the screening flow.

Dr Matthias Wintringham, MD, MSc Medical affairs, marketing-authorisation holder · submitting on regulatory science · industry submission
DRAFT-SPONSOR-COND/003 received 30 Jul 2024

The document should not describe uses outside the approved indication

The draft review of What is known about the direction and magnitude of the difference between sponsor-conducted and independently conducted trials, and how should an… was read against its registered protocol.

The submission is made on behalf of a marketing-authorisation holder. It states that the draft describes uses of the compound that fall outside the approved indication, that such uses are not supported by the sponsor, and that describing them may be read as legitimising them.

The sponsor asks that the sections concerned be removed, or in the alternative that they carry a prominent statement that the sponsor does not support such use.

Declared interest. Is an employee of a marketing-authorisation holder for a compound named in the draft. This submission is made on behalf of that company and is identified as an industry submission throughout.
Secretariat responseNot accepted14 Oct 2024

The secretariat does not accept this submission. The Institute records what is supplied and what is used, because a reader encountering a compound outside a regulated route is the reader most in need of an assessment of the evidence for it.

The sections remain. Every such section already states the regulatory status of the use described and states that the evidence for it is assessed separately from the evidence for the approved indication. The submission is published in full and identified as an industry submission.

Dr Emiliana Ollerenshaw, MD, FFPH University department of public health · submitting on public health
DRAFT-SPONSOR-COND/004 received 04 Aug 2024

Declared interests should appear on the document rather than on a separate page

The respondent has read the draft synthesis on What is known about the direction and magnitude of the difference between sponsor-conducted and independently conducted trials, and how should an… and makes one submission.

The draft links to a central conflicts register. The respondent argues that a reader assessing whether to rely on a particular document should not have to leave it to find out who assessed it and what they declared.

The respondent proposes that the interests of every named contributor to a document be printed on that document.

Declared interest. Employed by a university department that has received unrestricted research funding from a manufacturer of a compound in the class under assessment. The respondent had no role in that funding.
Secretariat responseNoted, no amendment09 Oct 2024

The secretariat notes this submission and records that the draft already provides for it, which the respondent could reasonably have missed because the provision sits in an appendix.

Every document carries the declared interests of its named contributors in its front matter, and the central register exists so that a reader can see a person across all documents rather than one at a time. No amendment arises; the provision has been moved from the appendix into the body of the methodology document so that it is findable.

Dr Vittoria Quintanilha, MD, MSc (Clinical Trials) Independent evidence-synthesis consultancy · submitting on evidence synthesis
DRAFT-SPONSOR-COND/005 received 05 Aug 2024

Registered trials that never reported are not counted anywhere in the review

The respondent submits on the draft synthesis addressing What is known about the direction and magnitude of the difference between sponsor-conducted and independently conducted trials, and how should an…. This submission concerns the methods rather than the conclusion, on the view that a conclusion is only as good as the search that produced it.

The respondent states that the screening flow accounts for records retrieved and excluded but does not record registered trials identified with no posted result, which are neither included nor excluded and simply disappear.

The respondent proposes that they be counted and reported as a category, with the proportion of the registered evidence base they represent.

The respondent supports submission 003 so far as it goes and adds the matter set out here.

Declared interest. Has previously served as an investigator on a trial included in the evidence base under consultation. Received no personal payment; institutional payment was made to the trial site.
Secretariat responseAccepted25 Sep 2024

The secretariat accepts this submission. A review that cannot say how much of the evidence base is unreported cannot say how much weight its own estimate deserves.

Registered trials without posted results are now identified, counted and reported as a distinct category in the screening flow, with the proportion of registered participants they represent stated in the limitations.

Dr Oisín Rautavaara, PhD (Pharmacoepidemiology) Public-sector clinical trials unit · submitting on biostatistics
DRAFT-SPONSOR-COND/006 received 15 Aug 2024

Overlapping primary studies across included reviews are counted more than once

This is a submission on the draft review of What is known about the direction and magnitude of the difference between sponsor-conducted and independently conducted trials, and how should an…, made from a statistical standpoint.

The draft is an overview of reviews and several included reviews share primary studies. The respondent states that the overview reports the total number of participants across reviews as though the sets were disjoint.

The respondent proposes that overlap be assessed and reported, and that no total be given without correcting for it.

Declared interest. No financial or non-financial interest to declare in relation to the subject of this consultation.
Secretariat responseAccepted09 Oct 2024

The secretariat accepts this submission. An inflated participant total overstates the evidence base by an amount the reader cannot see.

Overlap between included reviews is now assessed at primary-study level and reported in a citation matrix, and participant totals are reported for the union of primary studies rather than as a sum across reviews.

Thaddeus Isaksen-Balogun, MSc (Epidemiology) Academic biostatistics group · submitting on biostatistics
DRAFT-SPONSOR-COND/007 received 16 Aug 2024

The choice of effect measure is not justified and changes the appearance of the result

The respondent’s comment on the draft review of What is known about the direction and magnitude of the difference between sponsor-conducted and independently conducted trials, and how should an… arises from comparing the included set against the respondent’s own knowledge of the field.

The draft reports relative effects for benefits and absolute effects for harms. The respondent states that the combination makes the finding look larger than the uniform presentation would, and that the choice should be justified or made uniform.

The respondent proposes that both relative and absolute effects be reported for every outcome.

Declared interest. Holds a personal shareholding, below the Institute's materiality threshold, in a diversified fund with pharmaceutical sector exposure. No direct holding in any named company.
Secretariat responseAccepted in part09 Oct 2024

The secretariat accepts this submission in part. Both measures are reported for every outcome where the baseline risk needed for the absolute effect can be stated. Where it cannot, the relative effect is reported alone with the reason.

Every outcome now reports the relative effect and, where an assumed baseline risk can be stated and sourced, the corresponding absolute effect, with the baseline risk and its source given in the same row.

Dr Kolawole Isaksen-Balogun, PhD (Biostatistics) Independent evidence-synthesis consultancy · submitting on biostatistics
DRAFT-SPONSOR-COND/008 received 24 Aug 2024

The axis of the forest plot exaggerates a small difference

This submission addresses the draft synthesis on What is known about the direction and magnitude of the difference between sponsor-conducted and independently conducted trials, and how should an… from the standpoint of a reader who will use the summary and not the appendices.

The plot is drawn on an axis spanning a narrow range, so an effect of no clinical consequence occupies most of the width of the figure. A reader who takes the visual impression rather than the number will overstate the finding.

The respondent proposes that a minimally important difference be marked on every forest plot where one has been established for the outcome.

Declared interest. Holds a personal shareholding, below the Institute's materiality threshold, in a diversified fund with pharmaceutical sector exposure. No direct holding in any named company.
Secretariat responseAccepted in part09 Oct 2024

The secretariat accepts the proposal where a minimally important difference exists and declines to invent one where it does not.

Forest plots now carry a marked minimally important difference wherever a published one exists for the outcome, with its source cited. Where none exists the figure says so beneath the axis.

Dr Ndidi Ravensworth-Ilunga, MD, MSc (Clinical Trials) Clinical Trials Unit, academic · submitting on evidence synthesis
DRAFT-SPONSOR-COND/009 received 29 Aug 2024

Risk-of-bias judgements are reported as an overall rating without the domains

This submission concerns the draft review of What is known about the direction and magnitude of the difference between sponsor-conducted and independently conducted trials, and how should an…. The respondent has conducted reviews on adjacent questions and the observation arises from that experience.

The draft reports a single overall risk-of-bias judgement per study. The respondent states that the overall judgement conceals which domain drove it, and that a reader assessing whether the concern applies to their question needs the domain.

The respondent proposes a domain-level table with the supporting quotation for each judgement.

Declared interest. Is a member of the Institute's external reviewer register but did not review the document under consultation.
Secretariat responseAccepted09 Oct 2024

The secretariat accepts this submission. The overall judgement is a summary of the domains and publishing only the summary makes it uncheckable.

Risk of bias is now reported at domain level for every included study, with the text on which each judgement was based quoted and referenced, and the overall judgement derived from the domains rather than asserted alongside them.

Dr Adaeze Underhill-Okafor, MD, MSc (Clinical Trials) University department of public health · submitting on evidence synthesis
DRAFT-SPONSOR-COND/010 received 07 Sep 2024

Two included studies do not meet the registered eligibility criteria

Having read the draft synthesis on What is known about the direction and magnitude of the difference between sponsor-conducted and independently conducted trials, and how should an…, the respondent puts one point to the committee.

The respondent identifies two studies in the included set whose duration falls below the minimum stated in the protocol, and one excluded study that appears to meet every criterion.

The respondent proposes that the three be reassessed and that the outcome of the reassessment be recorded whichever way it goes.

Declared interest. Has previously served as an investigator on a trial included in the evidence base under consultation. Received no personal payment; institutional payment was made to the trial site.
Secretariat responseAccepted in part09 Oct 2024

The secretariat accepts this submission in part. On reassessment, one of the two included studies does fall below the minimum duration and has been removed. The second reports a duration that met the criterion in the protocol version registered at the time. The excluded study was excluded for a reason not clearly recorded, which was a documentation failure.

One study has been removed from the included set and the estimate recomputed, the exclusion reason for the third study has been corrected in the excluded-studies table, and the screening decisions are now recorded against the protocol version in force at the time of screening.

References cited on this page

References are numbered in order of first citation in this document. Each superscript in the text links to its entry below.

  1. International Organization for Standardization. ISO/IEC 17025:2017 General Requirements for the Competence of Testing and Calibration Laboratories. ISO/IEC Standard 2017;3rd edition. identifier not held by the Institute

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